Deliverables and products
Continuous time analogues
Ensemble forecast simulations with analogues
The AnaWEGE stochastic weather generator was modified into a forecast mode to simulate large ensembles of temperature and NAO index forecasts, from 5 to 80 days ahead. The performance of this system is evaluated by:
Yiou, P. and Déandréis, C.: Stochastic Ensemble Climate Forecast with an Analogue Model, Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2018-199, accepted, 2019.